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My Preparation Process for Fantasy Football Drafts

Tuesday night is the auction draft for a 14-team league I play in locally. This got me thinking. For as much as fantasy football pundits like to talk about process, why aren’t there more articles out...

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When Does Average Depth of Target Stabilize for Quarterbacks?

According to Pro Football Focus’s (PFF) charting, Cam Newton led all qualifying quarterbacks in average depth of target (aDOT) during the 2016 regular season; this after ranking second in 2015. On the...

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When Does Average Depth of Target Stabilize for Running Backs?

Similar to the pattern I cited with respect to quarterbacks (QB), Pro Football Focus’s (PFF) average depth of target (aDOT) rankings for running backs (RB) were mostly consistent from 2015 to 2016. For...

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When Does Average Depth of Target Stabilize for Wide Receivers?

So far I’ve found that average depth of target (aDOT) stabilizes in 10 games (or 286 aimed throws) for QBs and in 14 games (or 30 targets) for RBs. Today, I’ll present and discuss the aDOT...

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When Does Average Depth of Target Stabilize for Tight Ends?

Back in January, I tweeted out this poll: just finished running reliability analyses for avg depth of target. for which position do you think aDOT stabilizes in the fewest games? — Danny Tuccitto...

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When Does Yards After Catch Stabilize for Tight Ends?

In my last four posts, I presented a series of analyses respecting the game-to-game consistency of air yards, or what Pro Football Focus calls average depth of target (aDOT). In a sentence, I found...

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When Does Yards After Catch Stabilize for Wide Receivers?

I’ve been watching the NFL for 30+ years, and there doesn’t seem to be a game that goes by without the commentary team citing a WR’s yards after catch (YAC) at some point during the broadcast. But...

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When Does Yards After Catch Stabilize for Running Backs?

So far in this series on the reliability of Yards After Catch (YAC), I’ve found that it stabilizes in 22 games for TEs and 31 games for WRs. For both positions, that’s slower than it takes for Average...

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When Do Completion Percentage, Yards Per Attempt, and Adjusted Yards Per...

Day 1 of the 2018 NFL draft is shaping up to be QB-centric, with five passers projected to come off the board. Owing to this, the commentary that’s entered my social media orbit over the past month has...

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When Do Quarterback Efficiency Stats Stabilize? (2019 Luxe & Reduxe)

It’s been five years since I piggy-backed off of this 2011 Monty McNair post, which itself piggy-backed off this 2011 Tom Tango post, which itself piggy-backed off this 2007 Russell Carleton (aka Pizza...

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